Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 79.328383 88.926439 98.712998 109.406896 120.732762 132.341918 145.112115
2025-09-07 65.367190 79.322830 94.156103 110.968424 129.373832 148.800666 170.747903
2025-09-14 57.156179 73.627655 91.675482 112.658725 136.142592 161.399491 190.408125
2025-09-21 49.331622 67.342319 87.653660 111.822211 139.401068 169.542101 204.640496
2025-09-28 42.142135 61.012571 82.909530 109.546591 140.492137 174.805073 215.249707
2025-10-05 39.490007 59.778100 83.823898 113.542477 148.503867 187.655699 234.183277
2025-10-12 36.457889 57.765474 83.563204 115.945512 154.501216 198.083279 250.271553
2025-10-19 32.376628 54.074577 80.985905 115.347118 156.791499 204.104073 261.211893
2025-10-26 28.782615 50.716480 78.580700 114.748990 158.908769 209.785883 271.645505
2025-11-02 26.128195 48.397486 77.314563 115.401976 162.401470 216.977782 283.746286
2025-11-09 23.144213 45.376324 74.958064 114.541823 163.941348 221.778401 292.989815
2025-11-16 20.856333 43.155872 73.506970 114.703577 166.631125 227.866045 303.678548
2025-11-23 18.259408 40.292827 71.083853 113.557569 167.690785 232.030597 312.165531
2025-11-30 16.760752 38.975513 70.679073 114.961100 171.875786 239.921870 325.051231
2025-12-07 15.513438 37.941027 70.588813 116.717012 176.458624 248.263953 338.453600
2025-12-14 13.597093 35.640559 68.593877 115.858357 177.674727 252.475768 346.899546
2025-12-21 11.472292 32.755454 65.600954 113.536833 176.932582 254.225294 352.337615
2025-12-28 11.211153 33.115110 67.338362 117.614357 184.381110 266.010616 369.839023
2026-01-04 10.561185 32.708205 67.902478 120.065992 189.724640 275.205556 384.226258
2026-01-11 9.237985 30.909069 66.288779 119.455539 191.060040 279.424285 392.582130
2026-01-18 8.041257 29.203975 64.725587 118.845334 192.343891 283.542169 400.788630
2026-01-25 7.216196 28.144011 64.103100 119.511503 195.269237 289.682695 411.442445
2026-02-01 6.173105 26.477702 62.436162 118.633977 196.113869 293.191881 418.864705